Showing posts with label 3C. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 3C. Show all posts

Tuesday, 9 May 2017

[NEW] 3C Essay Plans for Pressure Groups


Are interest groups elitist or pluralist
"Power is concentrated in a select few pressure groups." Discuss.
This question can be worded in a million ways.


Pluralist Argument
Elitist argument
Supplement for electoral systems. Rousseau
said that a country is only “free during the election of members of Parliament” – basically what he meant was that in between election time democracy does not exist or flourish, thus pressure groups are supposed to step in and fill the void. Elections only take place every few years, during which the elected representatives may lose touch with their constituents and fall short of their electoral promises – when this happens pressure groups can step in and force the government to interact with civil society, bring up issues that they may have ignored and get them to engage in it. So, pressure groups ensure that democracy continues to flourish in between election time by encouraging the government to actively engage in issues concerning various groups in civil society.
EXAMPLE: Black Lives Matter + Planned Parenthood.
Schattsschneider. This political theorist argues that it is the pressure groups with the most wealth that get to influence government, the smaller less wealthy pressure groups are unable to have influence because the cannot afford things such as hosting mass campaigns, hiring professional lobbyists from K Street. Therefore, power in society is only concentrated in a small minority of elitist wealthy pressure groups. Philip Stern in his book ‘The Best Congress Money Can Buy’ illustrates how wealthy pressure groups effectively buy Congress and sway them.
EXAMPLE: For instance,
Allow for transparency. Transparency is crucial to a democracy because it ensures that there is openness of government doings and people are aware that the government is not abusing them. Pressure groups allow for transparency through a number of ways, they have played key roles in recent years in exposing government agencies and congressional representatives, this is important so that constituents for instance are aware of what their representatives are up to and are working in accordance to their electoral pledges.
EXAMPLE: League of Conservation Voters for 20 years they have published their list of the ‘Dirty Dozen’ congressional representatives who have poor records on the environment and by this they seek to expose them and hope to get them out of office in the next election. Amnesty International played somewhat of a role in the CIA torture report, helping the Senate Intelligence Committee, which exposed the CIA’s inhumane treatment of terror suspects.  
Social immobility/gridlock. The pressure groups may be blocking all bills and slowing down or blocking desirable changes, thereby contributing to social immobilization. This may even lead to the prevention of the government from functioning properly as was seen in the government shutdown of 2013, which was primarily caused by Ted Cruz but supported, by a small amount of pressure group (Heritage Action and Tea Party Patriots). This shows that one or two pressure groups can bring an entire government to a standstill suggesting that power is actually not evenly distributed if one pressure group has the ability to influence a 16-day government shutdown. This was something that was opposed by the Democrats and even a vast majority of Republican pressure groups yet it still managed to happen.
Protect minority interests. In democracy there is a general tyranny of the majority over votes, meaning that the minority is usually ignored. Pressure groups occasionally adopt the view of the minority groups that are ignored, effectively giving them a voice and some influence over politics. Everyone has a voice in politics because of this.
EXAMPLE: North Dakota Access Pipeline, threat to minority Native Americans who live there. They have the support of environmental groups, their situation has gained recognition across the country even politicians like Bernie Sanders have turned up at the site to show support.
Iron Triangles. These exist in US politics, they are simply relationships between three different political actors, a pressure group, a congressional committee and a bureaucratic department or agency. In an iron triangle each side works together but as long as its interests are protected, it is through iron triangles that policy is formulated. They’re called ‘iron’ for a reason because they’re impenetrable, other pressure groups with the same exact interests will not be able to get involved in this special relationship, thus leaving less influential pressure groups out of the political scene and out of influence.  
Salisbury Argument. States that there has been an explosion in the amount of interest groups since the 50s and that they face each other over competing interests and that there is a constant shift in political power between the interest groups. One interest group is not always the most influential and it changes over time. This is generally seen through the NRA who occasionally have high points in gun control protection but are occasionally lose. This means that everyone gets a fair share of influence and there is general equality on the level of influence held by the groups.
EXAMPLE: This is most evidently seen in Planned Parenthood vs National Right to Life. Explains why abortion remains a state issue and why there are still limits on it. Thus limiting advances made by planned parenthood in the field of abortion.
Elitism in the structure of an interest group. Many pressure groups themselves may not be representative of their members. Their officers are not usually elected. Few groups have procedures for consulting their members. As a result the members may not share the views expressed by group officials. This means that within the interest group itself, few unelected people without consultation of the membership make the decisions. This would suggest that the pressure groups are elitist in its very own structure and the way they work.


Why is the US Political environment such a favourable environment for Pressure Groups? (or Explain the factors that give pressure groups such a significant role in US politics)
  • Fragmented US political system this means that the US political system has a wide range of access points available for pressure groups to exploit. For example, pressure groups can go ahead at national level and seek influence via the Supreme Court, Congress (e.g. AIPAC deployed lobbyists to a plethora of Congress politicians to push for action in Syria between 2013-14, and is still happening today). Pressure groups lacking resources to compete at national level go for state level (state courts, legislatures, mayors, governors, etc)
  • Weak Parties US political parties are weak and unproductive, they are also bitterly divided 2013 least productive legislative year, 2013 government shutdown, the GOP is divided especially on Trump: following Trump’s election a small number of GOP Senators have pledged to oppose Trump at all costs, such as Lindsay Graham (oppose him on the Mexican border), Ted Cruz (on Trump’s appointments), John McCain, Marco Rubio, etc. people have become disillusioned with Washington Politics = they turn to pressure groups to put forward their interests + people potentially not interested in all politics of US and are only interested in 1 issue which pressure groups provide them with
  • Campaign Finance Reform failure US political parties, candidates at whatever level – national or state, heavily rely on pressure groups for their financing at election time. Elections in America are incredibly expensive, over $594 million raised by Super PACs during the 2016 presidential election. Money gives the impression that pressure groups are effectively buying their influence, Philip Stern even wrote a book about it entitled “The Best Money Congress Can Buy”
  • Diverse Population The US is one of the most diverse countries in the world, there are a range of different ethnic groups, cultures, etc across the country, for instance the Latino population stands now at 55 million and given how diverse the country is Congress arguably fails at representing this diverse country because there are over 440 white Congress people out of 535. So, therefore different pressure groups exist to protect and represent different ethnic groups: National Council of La Raza representing the Latinos.


Why has the impact of professional lobbyists on policy-making in the USA been controversial?
  • The revolving door syndrome Many congressmen enter the field of lobbying once they are no longer in office due to the fact that during their terms they have gained a lot of connections and experience. This is controversial because it leads to these incredibly experienced people becoming lobbyists and advancing pressure group power and influence, which further advances the view that PG’s dominate US politics instead of the elected US parties. John Boehner employed by the third largest lobbying firm – Squire Patton Boggs, as the former House Speak he has A LOT of experience and connections, which pressure groups are going to use to their advantage no doubt.
  • Promotion of an elitist society Because lobbyists are incredibly expensive, this means that it is an exclusive method of influence that is only available to the few incredibly wealthy pressure groups. This would be a form of elitism as it is giving greater power and influence to the few who could actually afford it. In total 3.2 billion was spent on lobbying in 2015 alone.  The US Chamber of Commerce has spent the most money on lobbying so far in 2016 by spending a total of 79.5 million on lobbying alone. Many pressure groups do not have a budget anywhere near the size of this.
  • May lead to corruption The desire to become incredibly influential as a lobbyist may lead to using corrupt methods to actually progress their views or gives the view that they are corrupt. it was widely suggested that corruption was at play when Mitch McConnell received 530,000 in donations from lobbying firms.
  • Creates image of a bought Congress the public image and knowledge of the works of lobbyists would reinforce the view of ‘the best Congress money can buy’.  Jake Abramoff scandal. Philip J Stern
  • Lobbying reform has failed 1995 Lobbying Disclosure Act meant that all lobbying information had to be disclosed and Congress people had to wait a year before becoming lobbyists - but this law is evaded regularly. Honest Leadership and Open Government Act of 2007. Of the 352 people who left Congress alive since the law took effect in January 2008, 47% have joined the influence industry.


Why have the activities of Pressure Groups been criticised?
  • Gridlock Pressure groups are often blamed for gridlock in Congress, which leads to an unproductive legislature or creates an image of a ‘broken branch’. Congress can be viewed as this environment whereby, as a consequence of mass lobbying and excessive campaign money flowing through candidates, a load of pressure group interests are floating about and competing for influence, each pressure group has its own interest and they influence their own candidates in Congress and this leads to much disagreement among Congress. Example: 2013 government shutdown, although the work of the Tea Party, was also arguably influenced by mass protests, demonstrations, campaigns, etc launched by pressure groups opposing Obamacare such as Heritage Action USA
  • Lobbying lobbying is controversial because of the fact that it is incredibly expensive and is therefore only available to a few pressure groups that actually have the wealth to hire lobbyists from K Street. This has been criticised as a very elitist method of influence used by pressure groups. It also further reinforces the view of  ‘the best Congress money can buy’ and many see politicians as corrupt because lobbyists are influencing Congress instead of the electorate. This gives a view of influence going to the highest bidder.  The US Chamber of Commerce has spent the most money on lobbying so far in 2016 by spending a total of 79.5 million on lobbying alone. Many pressure groups do not have a budget anywhere near the size of this. It was widely suggested that corruption was at play when Mitch McConnell received 530,000 in donations from lobbying firms.
  • Campaign Finance Many pressure groups occasionally use underhanded methods like the abuse of tax codes like the 501s or 527s, which allow organizations to donate unregulated/untaxed money to politicians and parties. Additionally, many pressure groups use SuperPACs and occasionally have their own SuperPAC, which allows them to give unlimited donations to the party of politician of their choice. This gives the view of the pressure groups buying the support or allegiance of government officials. The National Right to Life have managed to pay $339,504 when the usual limit would be around 2,000 to individuals and 40,000 to parties.  Abusing the system. Excessive flow of money from PG’s to Congress = image of corruption or politicians being bought, politicians being more attentive to the interests of pressure groups than their representatives – illustrated by Stern in Best Money Congress Can Buy
  • Iron triangles These are simply relationships between three different political actors, a pressure group, a congressional committee and a bureaucratic department or agency. In an iron triangle each side works together but as long as its interests are protected, it is through iron triangles that policy is formulated. They’re called ‘iron’ for a reason because they’re impenetrable, other pressure groups with the same exact interests will not be able to get involved in this special relationship, thus leaving less influential pressure groups out of the political scene and out of influence.  It is considered as an unfair advantage and negates from the argument proposed by Robert Salisbury. The iron triangle would suggest that pressure groups wont be in a constant power struggle if they have opposing views to either the of the three branches of the Iron Triangle and that as long as they are all benefiting each other – nothing will change. Suggesting that pressure groups are undemocratic because of their elitist nature.

‘Membership size is the crucial factor in determining pressure group success.’ Discuss.


Membership size is a crucial factor in determining pressure group success. Members of the house are more likely to keep large pressure groups happy to gain their votes, as they have to constantly campaign. The NRA is a gun right’s group that are arguably one of the most powerful interest group in Washington. This large membership often turns into success because again politicians will pander to them in order to gain voters.   This is evident by the fact that the NRA endorsed some 222 candidates in the 2014 midterms.  Although it can be argued that political parties do have some final say in the legislative process. Despite AIPAC having a lot of influence in both parties, this was not enough to sway the Democrats away from pushing through the Iran Deal.  AIPAC and J Street (a Jewish interest group) desperately lobbied Democrats in order to try and get them to override the Iran nuclear deal that Obama made with Iran. They failed and the deal went through.  Thus showing that political parties do have some final say in legislative process. To conclude membership size does play a large factor but does not guarantee success


Membership size is the crucial factor in determining PG success because it leads to larger donations to politicians, which influences policy. More members = larger donations = greater influence on government. NRA (5 million members) spending $6m on pro-Trump ads for favourable gun policy; $360k to Trump, Planned Parenthood gave $500k to Clinton for pro-choice legislation. However, Large donations do not always lead to influence in policy, as politicians may not be elected. National Right to Life Donations:
Ben Carson = $25k
Ted Cruz = $20k
Despite these donations from PGs, these candidates were not elected, so cannot decide government policy, only slightly influence it. Nonetheless, Ted Cruz retains his job in the Senate - he can influence policy by supporting the causes of PGs who supported him (NRA, Gun Owners of America, AIPAC) because of their continued support


Membership size is crucial as it enables wide public opinion and support. Large support means they represent large amounts of the public so PGs demands carry more weight behind them. AARP which have over 37 million members with revenues around 2 million - therefore views and demands will be much more adhered to by the government, compared to smaller groups.
Senators in Arkansas and New York face up to 71 % loss of elderly voters, which AARP can help with. However, Some groups may have success without large membership through the use of insider status and Supreme Court decision. Insider groups are widely used and referred to by government as they have high amounts of knowledge in a specific field. Whilst Supreme Court is an access point for pressure groups and court cases may sway opinion to help the group e.g. gay rights being advanced by Lawrence v Texas and the recent ruling justice Anthony Kennedy wrote.


Membership size is crucial in determining pressure group success as the larger the membership, the higher the chance of members having access to lobbyists. Access to lobbyists= more access points= more success in putting views across.
Elizabeth Warren in 2016 NCLR Annual Conference in Orlando, Elizabeth Warren’s presence= higher chance of individuals being able to lobby at this event. Her views on ‘the wall’ were very clear as she stated the policy to be ‘stupid’.  NCLR is the largest Latino pressure group in US. The huge support for NCLR catches the attention of such politicians like Warren, hence her attendance of the event.


Assess the role of Pressure Groups in elections campaigns


  • Registering voters/getting the vote out - ‘Rock the Vote’ has prompted millions to vote, ‘led largely by Millennials as the most diverse and tolerant generation in our history. An estimated 50% of young people cast more than 20% of all votes in the 2016 Presidential Election’ from their website. Pressure groups are ensuring that the voices of the people are being heard. Ensuring that the president has as much legitimacy as possible through the electorate with FPTP. Helping to increase political participation and thus trying to enhance democracy - with individuals that do not usually vote such as young people
  • Educate the electorate (E) Publishing voter records: ‘dirty dozen’ list by League Conservation Voters, LCV. Leads to electorate making more informed decisions. (P) But, the education may be skewed biased so the public will support what they want them to. Lead to lack of peer review. + talk about how important political education is to a country as big as America where many people don’t already turn out to vote, it is important for a population to be politically active
  • Endorsing Candidates (E) Planned Parenthood endorsing Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election by investing $30million. Fossil fuel barons invested more than 100 million dollars into GOP super pacs
  • The endorsement leads to the polarisation and division of a nation as per campaign finance reform, they are published publicly and if a certain company or group is clearly seen as supporting a specific candidate, this may lead to internal divisions or generally among their supporters. Wealthier pressure groups wield greatest influence as candidates may rely on these donations meaning they are elitist. PG’S can donate up to $5000 per candidate NRA donating to 90% of GOP members in congress, however this means nothing as SuperPACs mean that donations are unlimited. Elitism.
  • Fund super PACs to attack ideological opponents US chamber of commerce (not an agency of the US government)- PRO GOP Super PAC who attacked democratic candidates for largely supporting Obama’s policies essentially weakening the supporters. PGs cannot endorse candidates actively but can attack rivals without limit or accounting for attacks. They can weaken support for the opposing candidates without being limited therefore the opposition seems weak gaining more support for their party, however this can generally be seen as corruption and reinforces the idea of the ‘best Congress money can buy’


    To what extent is influencing the Congress the most successsful PG tactic

    • Yes because Congress is the  legislature they pass legislation that could or could not benefit pressure groups. They would often send lobbyists to congressmen such as how AIPAC lobbied all of Congress to attend a meeting with Benjamin Netanyahu at a convention to support Israeli rights and get funding for them. Because of Congress having the power of the purse, it is the only route to actually take in acquiring this.
    • There are so many stages in the creation of legislation in Congress for a piece of legislation to fail for example a pressure group could lobby committee members who could completely change it or the leader of that committee who could simply pigeonhole the bill. Only 5% of bills are successful.
    • Elections are becoming very expensive, there is a dependence on pressur groups to finance their campaigns. Financial help leads to buying congress in a sense like how Philip J Stern stated ‘The Best Congress Money Could Buy”.
    • Congress doesn’t get shit done because of the increased polarisation. Least producitve legislative year was 2013, there was a government shut down in 2013 and the 115th Congress was the least productive congress ever. The current Congress is also not particularly producitve.
    • Since Congress is so dysfunctional it is better that they do it to the executive who sets the agenda at the bully pulpit, if they can convince the executive to support them their agenda will be the official agendao f congress which usually reflects that of the president. Also have a more direct influence over foreing policy.

Friday, 5 May 2017

[NEW] Essay plans for elections (3C)

This is long overdue, my apologies. This site boasts on average 6,00 views a day and approximately 13,000 per month and everyone has been asking me to upload more essay plans and whatnot, so here they are.

I did not create these essay plans myself, one of my tutees did. There are a range of new examples from this year and last year as my previous essays are too out-dated apparently and I have people complaining about an example from 2014 which I still think is very relevant. Some of these plans are fully completed, others have information missing.

More essay plans and notes to come.

To what extent is the system of nominating Presidential candidates in need of reform? (45)


PARTY DIVISIONS. Primaries are lengthy and have a tendency to create party divisions because they become really intense and as seen this year, toxic (NY Times). Personal attacks are increasingly likely;
“You are the single biggest liar. You probably are worse than Jeb Bush,” (Trump to Ted Cruz)
“Donald Trump’s consistently disgraceful” (Cruz to Trump) Trump completely divides the GOP.
Divisions can be easily repaired because of how long the actual process is, almost all fights during elections and divisions are healed by the end as seen through endorsements.
Bernie fully endorsed Hillary Clinton
Cruz, although initially refusing, endorsed Trump.
SUPER TUESDAY. Primaries are meant to be a lengthy process with consistency in debate, it should not be easy to predict a winner so early on as is enabled through the Super Tuesday which gives away over 50% of delegates in one day. This disenfranchises other states.
2016 has 4 super Tuesdays.
Marco Rubio forced to drop out before Florida - his home state - even votes.
2016 is arguably an exception and an anomaly due to how radical the candidates are. Front loading was barely a problem in 2012. The last state can still have a large impact on the primaries and frontloading does not always allow an easy prediction of who the winner will be. 11 in 2012, 19 2016.
LOW TURNOUT. The turnout is generally low showing that the system is not appealing to the electorate and questions the mandate and democratic legitimacy of candidates nominated. Participation is needed for democracy to flourish.
2016 - 28%
2012 - 17%
2008 - 30%
Low turnouts show correlation rather than causation. Does not suggest why they are voting and cannot prove that the system is to blame.
Could be disillusioned with Congress or Washington politics.
Voters still use the primaries as a way of judging the candidates even if they aren’t voting in the primary.
LACK OF PEER REVIEW. Primaries test candidate campaigning skills rather than their governing skills. Voters lack peer review as they may be ill informed or may just vote out of emotion.
Prior 1970s reform party bosses in smoke filled rooms made educated decisions.
In a media dominated 21st century, campaigning skills are just as important as governing skills. Weeds out weak candidates like Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina.
NEW HAMPSHIRE MYTH. It has been argued that the candidates that win the first primary and caucus in New Hampshire and Iowa will in the primaries. Eliminate the usefulness of state primaries.
This hasn’t occurred for the last three presidents (Clinton, Obama and Bush).
Sanders won New Hampshire and lost overall.



Who votes for who and why?
  • Republicans: Middle and upper class wealthy people because republicans tend to be fiscally conservative and cut back on taxation, which is something that appeals to the rich. Paul Ryan – Tax cuts grow the economy and create more jobs.
  • Gun owners because republicans support the 2nd amendment. John McCain – prosecute criminals not citizens for gun ownership.
  • Religious people because the Republicans tend to hold more conservative beliefs such as anti-gay marriage, anti-marijuana, pro family values and against gun control.
  • Nativists who oppose immigration as seen through Donald Trump who even won the Republican bid for presidency.

Democrats
  • African Americans  As the democrats are the party of the minority
  • Immigrants and Hispanics
  • Gay people
  • Women – Lilyledbetter act, fair pay act and abortion.


Do propositions, referendums and recall elections enhance or weaken democracy.
Increase participation. Propositions and referendums could provide a specific issue that is attractive to a specific group of voters, which would perhaps encourage them to go and vote for the proposition as well as for a presidential election/mid term election. Additionally, propositions offer another form of political participation, something that is necessary for democracy to flourish. For example, the issue of marijuana legalisation has got a lot of young voters voting – this year in total (2016) there have been too many propositions for the legislation of marijuana (California 12m voted, Nevada). Political participation in the US is especially important because the turnouts at election time have been low in recent years.
However, despite them increasing participation, it is not always successful, some issues are more important than others to voters and therefore some issues will obviously gain much more attention by the electorate while others will be completely neglected. So, propositions rarely ever bump up the turnout.
Less than 50% - Washington State Init. 1433
Knowledge and education. Gives a lot of people the opportunity to become a lot more engaged in politics as many pressure groups and parties will be campaigning, many views will be around propelled through the news. In a democracy it is important for a population to be educated on the issues. The electorate must be informed and educated on candidates and the general political climate of their country so that they may be able to make informed decisions on elections. Propositions and initiatives help to educate the public on such matters, informing them of what the current political agenda is. During the run up to the California propositions in 2016 such as Prop 66 many newspaper were pu3blishing guides entitled with something along the lines of “What is Proposition 66: Voter Guide” to educate the population about the proposition
Wedge politics. Many people already have engraved beliefs such as through religious principles like on abortion, the death penalty or gay marriage. The media may have a weak impact. Many issues like the death penalty, gay marriage or abortion are subject to wedge politics which splits apart a country which could lead to general disorder within a country through protests or even riots.
Forces issues to the debate. Propositions force certain political issues to be put on the agenda for political debate. Many issues may be neglected by politicians and they may not be sympathetic to such issues and therefore may not be acting on them, propositions allow for ignored issues or issues not being well tackled to be forced straight into the political debate and allow for people to decide on them for themselves. This is a form of direct democracy, some issues may be too sensitive or too controversial to be decided on by just politicians and so the people get a say in them as well.
However, this arguably does not enhance democracy simply because many of the issues which are put on the ballot are issues pushed forward by a small minority of wealthy pressure groups, hinting at an elitist society. So this means that only a narrow number of political issues are actually put on the ballot and many others are excluded because smaller groups are unable to meet the requirements to put their issue on the ballot. For example:  With just weeks to gather more than 61,000 signatures, the campaign to authorize a casino in southern Maine reportedly offered circulators up to $10 per signature. 2016
Accountability. Through initiatives and propositions, the people are able to hold their elected officials to account. They can bring up an issue that the representative promised to commit to during their election, making them campaign for it, or generally implement it/work towards it. Recall of an election allows them to hold a politician to account where they essentially hold a re-election which they could use to disapprove or approve of their candidate by voting out or in the candidate. The Colorado recall election of 2013 was a successful effort to recall two Democratic members of the Colorado Senate following their support of new gun control legislation. Initially four politicians were targeted, John Morse and State Senator Angela Giron. Replaced by two Republicans.



Why are US presidential election campaigns so long?

  1. The invisible primary lasts a minimum of a year which allows the candidates to collect money, donors and supporters. Preparations are made so early in fact that some candidates have announced that they are running 2 years before the election even takes place. Jeb Bush announced his that he would be running for president in 2014 and his invisible primary had technically begun since then.
  2. Frontloading means that the invisible primary must start even earlier to allow for a greater deal for money to be raised as if the primaries are shortened by heavy frontloading, there is less time to raise money unless the invisible primary is prolonged. Hence Jeb Bush starting two years prior while this year there was a huge level of frontloading in the form of 4 super tuesdays and a super saturday.
  3. The electoral college could lead to battles in the supreme court or in politics in general as was seen in 2000 when Al Gore took it to the Supreme Court due to him winning the popular vote but not the electoral college. This happened again this year but there was little to no backlash over it and no supreme court cases.
  4. There are useless events such as the National Convention where a winner emerges, a vice president is selected and a party starts. This happens despite the winner having already been announced and the Vice President is now rarely actually even selected during the National Convention. It usually occurs long before the national convention begins.

Analyse the strengths and weaknesses of the Electoral College

  1. It suppresses the popular will, allowing a candidate to win despite losing the popular vote. It is therefore democratic as the winner is not winning by a majority of the vote as was seen in 2016 when Donald Trump won despite having around 2 million less votes than Hillary Clinton.
  2. It requires candidates to campaign for all regions in America and to focus on key group of voters meaning that they are able to assess  their distinct issues. Such as how Hillary has been able to focus heavily on minority rights, while Donald Trump has focused heavily on immigration.
  3. Some states are heavily democrat and heavily republican meaning that some candidates would pay less attention to some specific states such as how Democrats would hardly try to get Texas to vote for them and the Republicans would rarely attempt to win in California.
  4. Candidates from minor parties have almost no ability to win unless they have very high levels of support in specific states when in truth they only have a small amount of support in every state.
  5. Rogue electors